Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000616 0.000699 0.000788 0.000888 0.000998 0.001116 0.001250
2026-01-04 0.000492 0.000609 0.000741 0.000900 0.001085 0.001294 0.001545
2026-01-11 0.000416 0.000546 0.000700 0.000893 0.001127 0.001399 0.001737
2026-01-18 0.000357 0.000495 0.000664 0.000884 0.001159 0.001490 0.001911
2026-01-25 0.000319 0.000463 0.000646 0.000892 0.001209 0.001597 0.002105
2026-02-01 0.000285 0.000432 0.000626 0.000893 0.001246 0.001690 0.002280
2026-02-08 0.000246 0.000390 0.000587 0.000866 0.001244 0.001729 0.002387
2026-02-15 0.000215 0.000356 0.000555 0.000845 0.001246 0.001771 0.002497
2026-02-22 0.000193 0.000334 0.000537 0.000840 0.001269 0.001840 0.002641
2026-03-01 0.000175 0.000314 0.000522 0.000838 0.001295 0.001912 0.002791
2026-03-08 0.000157 0.000293 0.000501 0.000827 0.001306 0.001964 0.002913
2026-03-15 0.000140 0.000272 0.000480 0.000813 0.001311 0.002006 0.003023
2026-03-22 0.000132 0.000266 0.000482 0.000834 0.001369 0.002125 0.003242
2026-03-29 0.000123 0.000258 0.000479 0.000846 0.001413 0.002226 0.003440
2026-04-05 0.000112 0.000243 0.000464 0.000839 0.001429 0.002285 0.003578
2026-04-12 0.000101 0.000228 0.000449 0.000831 0.001441 0.002338 0.003710
2026-04-19 0.000094 0.000220 0.000444 0.000838 0.001478 0.002429 0.003896
2026-04-26 0.000087 0.000210 0.000435 0.000839 0.001504 0.002503 0.004061
2026-05-03 0.000076 0.000193 0.000412 0.000814 0.001486 0.002511 0.004127
2026-05-10 0.000067 0.000178 0.000392 0.000793 0.001475 0.002529 0.004207
2026-05-17 0.000061 0.000169 0.000382 0.000789 0.001490 0.002586 0.004345
2026-05-24 0.000056 0.000161 0.000374 0.000787 0.001509 0.002649 0.004496
2026-05-31 0.000051 0.000152 0.000361 0.000777 0.001513 0.002688 0.004610